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Minnesota United FC v Sporting Kansas City

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 1.9 to 0.9

Full time
  • Date

Win chances: Minnesota favored. Minnesota win 66%, draw 18%, Sporting KC win 16%.

Issued Oct 26 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Minnesota and Sporting KC
MinnesotaSporting KC
1.90.9
3Goals1
2.00.7

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Minnesota goals down, Sporting KC goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 9%. The chance either side scores five or more is 12%. Goal by goal: 0–0, 0–1, 1–1, 2–1, 3–1.
Sporting KC 0Sporting KC 1Sporting KC 2Sporting KC 3Sporting KC 4
Minnesota 03%2%2%1%<1%
Minnesota 15%8%4%2%1%
Minnesota 27%9%6%2%1%
Minnesota 36%8%5%2%1%
Minnesota 44%5%3%1%<1%

Table

Where Minnesota and Sporting KC sit in the Western Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionWestern ConferencePts.
11Salt Lake1042
12Minnesota1−441
13San Diego1−538
14Austin1−2134
15Sporting KC1−4223

Full table

Lineups

Minnesota4-4-2

Sporting KC4-4-2

Sporting KC4-4-2

Minnesota4-4-2

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Minnesota
Sporting KC