Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City SC
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 3.4 to 1.9
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 16 at 1:31 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Minnesota favored. Minnesota win 41%, draw 23%, St. Louis win 36%.
Issued Oct 16 at 1:31 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Minnesota | St. Louis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.9 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||
Most likely scores
| St. Louis 0 | St. Louis 1 | St. Louis 2 | St. Louis 3 | St. Louis 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota 0 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Minnesota 1 | 5% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Minnesota 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Minnesota 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Minnesota 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 5 | Houston | 1 | +1 | 51 | |
| 11 | Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 42 | |
| 12 | Minnesota | 1 | −4 | 41 | |
| 13 | San Diego | 1 | −5 | 38 |
