New England Revolution v New York Red Bulls
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 1.4 to 3.2
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 26 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: New England favored. New England win 47%, draw 24%, Red Bulls win 29%.
Issued Oct 26 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| New England | Red Bulls | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 3.2 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.3 | ||
Most likely scores
| Red Bulls 0 | Red Bulls 1 | Red Bulls 2 | Red Bulls 3 | Red Bulls 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England 0 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| New England 1 | 6% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| New England 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| New England 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| New England 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 |
