New York City FC v Atlanta United FC
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 2.2
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 26 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: NYCFC favored. NYCFC win 51%, draw 25%, Atlanta win 24%.
Issued Oct 26 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| NYCFC | Atlanta | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||
Most likely scores
| Atlanta 0 | Atlanta 1 | Atlanta 2 | Atlanta 3 | Atlanta 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYCFC 0 | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| NYCFC 1 | 10% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| NYCFC 2 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| NYCFC 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| NYCFC 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 |
