New York City FC v CF Montréal
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.3 to 0.9
MontréalCF Montréal
Ríos 90+1'
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 30 at 1:34 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: NYCFC favored. NYCFC win 57%, draw 23%, Montréal win 20%.
Issued Oct 30 at 1:34 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| NYCFC | Montréal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||
Most likely scores
| Montréal 0 | Montréal 1 | Montréal 2 | Montréal 3 | Montréal 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYCFC 0 | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| NYCFC 1 | 10% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| NYCFC 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| NYCFC 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| NYCFC 4 | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 | |
| 15 | Montréal | 1 | −30 | 26 |
