New York City FC v Chicago Fire FC
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 1.6 to 1.8
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jul 25. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: NYCFC favored. NYCFC win 43%, draw 24%, Chicago win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jul 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| NYCFC | Chicago | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.8 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 |
