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New York City FC v Los Angeles FC

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 0.8

Full time
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Win chances: NYCFC favored. NYCFC win 38%, draw 27%, LAFC win 35%.

Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, NYCFC and LAFC
NYCFCLAFC
0.90.8
1Goals1
1.41.3

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, NYCFC goals down, LAFC goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%. Goal by goal: 0–0, 0–1, 1–1.
LAFC 0LAFC 1LAFC 2LAFC 3LAFC 4
NYCFC 07%8%6%3%1%
NYCFC 19%13%8%4%1%
NYCFC 26%8%6%2%1%
NYCFC 33%4%3%1%<1%
NYCFC 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where NYCFC sits in the Eastern Conference and LAFC in the Western Conference. The top 9 of each conference make the playoffs.
PositionEastern ConferencePts.
10Red Bulls1−1739
11NYCFC1+339
12Toronto1−1239
PositionWestern ConferencePts.
5Houston1+151
6LAFC1+1347
7LA Galaxy1−644

Full table

Lineups

NYCFC4-3-3

LAFC4-2-3-1

LAFC4-2-3-1

NYCFC4-3-3

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NYCFC
LAFC