New York City FC v Los Angeles FC
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 0.9 to 0.8
LAFCLos Angeles FC
Walta 45+1'
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: NYCFC favored. NYCFC win 38%, draw 27%, LAFC win 35%.
Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| NYCFC | LAFC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 0.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||
Most likely scores
| LAFC 0 | LAFC 1 | LAFC 2 | LAFC 3 | LAFC 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYCFC 0 | 7% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| NYCFC 1 | 9% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | |
| NYCFC 2 | 6% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| NYCFC 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| NYCFC 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
| 5 | Houston | 1 | +1 | 51 | |
| 6 | LAFC | 1 | +13 | 47 | |
| 7 | LA Galaxy | 1 | −6 | 44 |