New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami CF
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 3.5 to 1.0
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 22 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Miami favored. Red Bulls win 34%, draw 21%, Miami win 45%.
Issued Oct 22 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Red Bulls | Miami | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.0 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||
Most likely scores
| Miami 0 | Miami 1 | Miami 2 | Miami 3 | Miami 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bulls 0 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | |
| Red Bulls 1 | 3% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 3% | |
| Red Bulls 2 | 3% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | |
| Red Bulls 3 | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | |
| Red Bulls 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville | 1 | +44 | 74 | |
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 |
