New York Red Bulls v San Diego FC
Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Hall 15'Padelford 20'Ruvalcaba 27'Maxim Choupo-Moting 90+3'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 3.8 to 1.9
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Red Bulls favored. Red Bulls win 43%, draw 23%, San Diego win 34%.
Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Red Bulls | San Diego | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.9 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||
Most likely scores
| San Diego 0 | San Diego 1 | San Diego 2 | San Diego 3 | San Diego 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bulls 0 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Red Bulls 1 | 6% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Red Bulls 2 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Red Bulls 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Red Bulls 4 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
| 12 | Minnesota | 1 | −4 | 41 | |
| 13 | San Diego | 1 | −5 | 38 | |
| 14 | Austin | 1 | −21 | 34 |
