New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC
Final score 0 to 3
Expected goals 1.5 to 2.1
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: St. Louis favored. Red Bulls win 38%, draw 23%, St. Louis win 39%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Red Bulls | St. Louis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.1 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 5 | Houston | 1 | +1 | 51 |
