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Orlando City SC v New England Revolution

3.8 goals expected; Orlando is the favorite despite sitting 6 places below New England.

  • Date
  • Venue Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida
  • Where to watch in the US: Apple TV, streaming

Win chances: Orlando favored. Orlando win 46%, draw 22%, New England win 32%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:06 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Orlando and New England, against the league median
PositionOrlando 9th, New England 3rd, league median 8th
PointsOrlando 43, New England 58, league median 43.5
Points, last 5Orlando 6, New England 12, league median 6
OffenseOrlando 1.62, New England 1.38, league median 1.41
DefenseOrlando 1.76, New England 1.43, league median 1.44
Playoff oddsOrlando >99%, New England >99%, league median 85%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Orlando goals down, New England goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 8%. The chance either side scores five or more is 9%.
New England 0New England 1New England 2New England 3New England 4
Orlando 03%4%3%2%1%
Orlando 14%8%7%4%2%
Orlando 25%8%7%4%2%
Orlando 33%6%5%3%1%
Orlando 42%3%3%1%1%

Table

Where Orlando and New England sit in the Eastern Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionEastern ConferencePts.
2Miami1+2159
3New England1+958
4Chicago1+1155
8Columbus1+644
9Orlando1−1643
10Red Bulls1−1739

Full table