Orlando City SC v New York City FC
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 2.0 to 4.2
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 24 at 5:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Orlando favored. Orlando win 44%, draw 24%, NYCFC win 32%.
Issued Oct 24 at 5:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Orlando | NYCFC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 4.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.4 | ||
Most likely scores
| NYCFC 0 | NYCFC 1 | NYCFC 2 | NYCFC 3 | NYCFC 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando 0 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Orlando 1 | 6% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Orlando 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Orlando 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Orlando 4 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 |
