Philadelphia Union v Charlotte FC
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 2.4 to 1.7
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 16 at 1:31 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Philadelphia favored. Philadelphia win 61%, draw 20%, Charlotte win 19%.
Issued Oct 16 at 1:31 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Philadelphia | Charlotte | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||
Most likely scores
| Charlotte 0 | Charlotte 1 | Charlotte 2 | Charlotte 3 | Charlotte 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 0 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Philadelphia 1 | 6% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Philadelphia 2 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Philadelphia 3 | 6% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Philadelphia 4 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 |
