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Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati

PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia Union

Sullivan 43' penaltyDamiani 45+1', 49', 61'Iloski 89' penalty

Final score 5 to 0

Expected goals 3.7 to 0.0

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Win chances: Philadelphia favored. Philadelphia win 56%, draw 21%, Cincinnati win 23%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Philadelphia and Cincinnati
PhiladelphiaCincinnati
3.70.0
5Goals0
2.90.0

Table

Where Philadelphia and Cincinnati sit in the Eastern Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionEastern ConferencePts.
5Charlotte1+1553
6Philadelphia1+1147
7Cincinnati1−646
8Columbus1+644

Full table

Lineups

Philadelphia4-4-2

Cincinnati3-5-2

Cincinnati3-5-2

Philadelphia4-4-2

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Philadelphia
Cincinnati