Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 3.8 to 2.3
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 24 at 5:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Philadelphia favored. Philadelphia win 58%, draw 22%, New England win 20%.
Issued Oct 24 at 5:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Philadelphia | New England | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||
Most likely scores
| New England 0 | New England 1 | New England 2 | New England 3 | New England 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 0 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Philadelphia 1 | 7% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Philadelphia 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Philadelphia 3 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Philadelphia 4 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 |
