Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.7 to 1.1
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Philadelphia favored. Philadelphia win 63%, draw 19%, Salt Lake win 18%.
Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Philadelphia | Salt Lake | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.1 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||
Most likely scores
| Salt Lake 0 | Salt Lake 1 | Salt Lake 2 | Salt Lake 3 | Salt Lake 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 0 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Philadelphia 1 | 7% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Philadelphia 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Philadelphia 3 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Philadelphia 4 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
| 10 | Seattle | 1 | −3 | 43 | |
| 11 | Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 42 | |
| 12 | Minnesota | 1 | −4 | 41 |
