Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC
Low stakesStakes 0 of 100, bottom 15% of past matches.
Philadelphia has clinched a playoff spot, and Toronto is out of the playoff race.
- Date
- Venue Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania
- Where to watch in the US: Apple TV, streaming
Win chances: Philadelphia favored. Philadelphia win 63%, draw 20%, Toronto win 17%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:06 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Philadelphia and Toronto, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Philadelphia 6th, Toronto 12th, league median 8th |
| Points | Philadelphia 47, Toronto 39, league median 43.5 |
| Points, last 5 | Philadelphia 5, Toronto 7, league median 6 |
| Offense | Philadelphia 1.73, Toronto 1.22, league median 1.41 |
| Defense | Philadelphia 1.24, Toronto 1.44, league median 1.44 |
| Playoff odds | Philadelphia >99%, Toronto <1%, league median 85% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Toronto 0 | Toronto 1 | Toronto 2 | Toronto 3 | Toronto 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 0 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Philadelphia 1 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Philadelphia 2 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Philadelphia 3 | 7% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Philadelphia 4 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 |
