Real Salt Lake v LA Galaxy
Must watchRated 71 of 100 on quality and stakes, top 10% of past matches.
A loss ends Salt Lake's playoff hopes; a win lifts its playoff chances to 95%, from 53%.
- Date
- Venue America First Field, Sandy, Utah
- Where to watch in the US: Apple TV, streaming
Win chances: Salt Lake favored. Salt Lake win 52%, draw 22%, LA Galaxy win 26%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:06 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Salt Lake and LA Galaxy, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Salt Lake 11th, LA Galaxy 7th, league median 8th |
| Points | Salt Lake 42, LA Galaxy 44, league median 43.5 |
| Points, last 5 | Salt Lake 10, LA Galaxy 8, league median 6 |
| Offense | Salt Lake 1.35, LA Galaxy 1.39, league median 1.41 |
| Defense | Salt Lake 1.45, LA Galaxy 1.69, league median 1.44 |
| Playoff odds | Salt Lake 53%, LA Galaxy 58%, league median 85% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| LA Galaxy 0 | LA Galaxy 1 | LA Galaxy 2 | LA Galaxy 3 | LA Galaxy 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake 0 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Salt Lake 1 | 6% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Salt Lake 2 | 7% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Salt Lake 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Salt Lake 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | LAFC | 1 | +13 | 47 | |
| 7 | LA Galaxy | 1 | −6 | 44 | |
| 8 | Portland | 1 | −1 | 43 | |
| 9 | Colorado | 1 | −1 | 43 | |
| 10 | Seattle | 1 | −3 | 43 | |
| 11 | Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 42 | |
| 12 | Minnesota | 1 | −4 | 41 |
Playoff odds by result
| Result | Salt Lake | LA Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 53% | 58% |
| Salt Lake win | , up 42 points95% | , down 38 points20% |
| Draw | , down 32 points21% | , up 37 points95% |
| LA Galaxy win | , down 53 points<1% | , up 42 points>99% |
Salt Lake clinches a playoff spot with a win unless Seattle wins.
LA Galaxy clinches a playoff spot with a win, or a draw unless Portland wins.