Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 2.1 to 1.9
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Salt Lake favored. Salt Lake win 40%, draw 24%, San Jose win 36%.
Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Salt Lake | San Jose | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||
Most likely scores
| San Jose 0 | San Jose 1 | San Jose 2 | San Jose 3 | San Jose 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake 0 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Salt Lake 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Salt Lake 2 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Salt Lake 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Salt Lake 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dallas | 1 | +9 | 55 | |
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 10 | Seattle | 1 | −3 | 43 | |
| 11 | Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 42 | |
| 12 | Minnesota | 1 | −4 | 41 |
