San Diego FC v Houston Dynamo FC
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: San Diego favored. San Diego win 44%, draw 26%, Houston win 30%.
Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| San Diego | Houston | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||
Most likely scores
| Houston 0 | Houston 1 | Houston 2 | Houston 3 | Houston 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego 0 | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| San Diego 1 | 9% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| San Diego 2 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| San Diego 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| San Diego 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 5 | Houston | 1 | +1 | 51 | |
| 6 | LAFC | 1 | +13 | 47 | |
| 12 | Minnesota | 1 | −4 | 41 | |
| 13 | San Diego | 1 | −5 | 38 | |
| 14 | Austin | 1 | −21 | 34 |
