San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.0 to 0.6
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 17 at 9:49 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Nashville favored. San Jose win 36%, draw 24%, Nashville win 40%.
Issued Oct 17 at 9:49 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| San Jose | Nashville | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 0.6 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||
Most likely scores
| Nashville 0 | Nashville 1 | Nashville 2 | Nashville 3 | Nashville 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose 0 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| San Jose 1 | 6% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| San Jose 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| San Jose 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| San Jose 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dallas | 1 | +9 | 55 | |
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
| 1 | Nashville | 1 | +44 | 74 | |
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 |
