San Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.4 to 1.2
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 31 at 4:16 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: San Jose favored. San Jose win 49%, draw 24%, Salt Lake win 27%.
Issued Oct 31 at 4:16 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| San Jose | Salt Lake | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||
Most likely scores
| Salt Lake 0 | Salt Lake 1 | Salt Lake 2 | Salt Lake 3 | Salt Lake 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose 0 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| San Jose 1 | 7% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| San Jose 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| San Jose 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| San Jose 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dallas | 1 | +9 | 55 | |
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 10 | Seattle | 1 | −3 | 43 | |
| 11 | Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 42 | |
| 12 | Minnesota | 1 | −4 | 41 |
