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Seattle Sounders FC v Los Angeles FC

Unless Portland beats Austin, a win clinches a playoff spot for Seattle; a loss leaves it under 1%.

  • Date
  • Venue Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington
  • Where to watch in the US: Apple TV, streaming

Win chances: Seattle favored. Seattle win 38%, draw 26%, LAFC win 36%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:06 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Seattle and LAFC, against the league median
PositionSeattle 10th, LAFC 6th, league median 8th
PointsSeattle 43, LAFC 47, league median 43.5
Points, last 5Seattle 2, LAFC 6, league median 6
OffenseSeattle 1.34, LAFC 1.48, league median 1.41
DefenseSeattle 1.38, LAFC 1.24, league median 1.44
Playoff oddsSeattle 47%, LAFC >99%, league median 85%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Seattle goals down, LAFC goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
LAFC 0LAFC 1LAFC 2LAFC 3LAFC 4
Seattle 06%7%6%3%1%
Seattle 17%12%8%4%1%
Seattle 26%9%6%3%1%
Seattle 33%4%3%1%1%
Seattle 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Seattle and LAFC sit in the Western Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionWestern ConferencePts.
5Houston1+151
6LAFC1+1347
7LA Galaxy1−644
8Portland1−143
9Colorado1−143
10Seattle1−343
11Salt Lake1042

Full table

Playoff odds by result

Each team's playoff odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultSeattleLAFC
Now47%>99%
Seattle win, up 50 points97%, no change>99%
Draw, down 7 points40%, no change>99%
LAFC win, down 47 points<1%, no change>99%

Seattle clinches a playoff spot with a win unless Portland wins.