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St. Louis City SC v LA Galaxy

St. LouisSt. Louis City SC

Holse 2', 7', 21'Navarro 45' penalty, 53'MacNaughton 45+7'

Final score 6 to 2

Expected goals 3.0 to 2.0

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Win chances: St. Louis favored. St. Louis win 58%, draw 21%, LA Galaxy win 21%.

Issued Oct 11 at 12:42 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, St. Louis and LA Galaxy
St. LouisLA Galaxy
3.02.0
6Goals2
1.90.9

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, St. Louis goals down, LA Galaxy goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 9%. The chance either side scores five or more is 9%. Goal by goal: 0–0, 1–0, 2–0, 3–0, 3–1, 4–1, 5–1, 6–1, 6–2.
LA Galaxy 0LA Galaxy 1LA Galaxy 2LA Galaxy 3LA Galaxy 4
St. Louis 03%4%2%1%<1%
St. Louis 16%9%6%2%1%
St. Louis 27%9%6%3%1%
St. Louis 35%7%5%2%1%
St. Louis 43%4%3%1%<1%

Table

Where St. Louis and LA Galaxy sit in the Western Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionWestern ConferencePts.
3San Jose1+852
4St. Louis1+1051
5Houston1+151
6LAFC1+1347
7LA Galaxy1−644
8Portland1−143

Full table

Lineups

St. Louis3-4-3

LA Galaxy4-3-3

LA Galaxy4-3-3

St. Louis3-4-3

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St. Louis
LA Galaxy