St. Louis City SC v San Diego FC
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 2.1 to 1.0
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 30 at 1:34 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: St. Louis favored. St. Louis win 50%, draw 22%, San Diego win 28%.
Issued Oct 30 at 1:34 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| St. Louis | San Diego | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.0 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||
Most likely scores
| San Diego 0 | San Diego 1 | San Diego 2 | San Diego 3 | San Diego 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis 0 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| St. Louis 1 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| St. Louis 2 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| St. Louis 3 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| St. Louis 4 | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 5 | Houston | 1 | +1 | 51 | |
| 12 | Minnesota | 1 | −4 | 41 | |
| 13 | San Diego | 1 | −5 | 38 | |
| 14 | Austin | 1 | −21 | 34 |
