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Arsenal v Southampton, Premier League 2014–15

ArsenalArsenal

Sánchez 89'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 2.3 to 0.7

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 56%, draw 22%, Southampton win 22%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Southampton
ArsenalSouthampton
2.30.7
1Goals0
2.40.4