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Burnley v Arsenal, Premier League 2014–15

BurnleyBurnley

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.1

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Ramsey 12'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Burnley win 21%, draw 23%, Arsenal win 56%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Arsenal
BurnleyArsenal
0.51.1
0Goals1
0.91.8