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Chelsea v Manchester City, Premier League 2014–15

ChelseaChelsea

Rémy 41'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 0.9

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Silva 45'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 55%, draw 22%, Man City win 23%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Man City
ChelseaMan City
0.50.9
1Goals1
0.91.7