Chelsea v Southampton, Premier League 2014–15
ChelseaChelsea
Costa 11'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 2.5 to 1.9
SouthamptonSouthampton
Tadic 19' penalty
- Date Sunday, March 15, 2015
- Premier League 2014–15
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 15. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 58%, draw 25%, Southampton win 17%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||