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Crystal Palace v Aston Villa, Premier League 2014–15

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 0.3

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Benteke 32'

Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Crystal Palace win 54%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 21%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Crystal Palace and Aston Villa
Crystal PalaceAston Villa
0.90.3
0Goals1
1.90.8