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Manchester City v Burnley, Premier League 2014–15

Man CityManchester City

Silva 23'Fernandinho 33'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 1.7 to 1.1

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Boyd 47'Barnes 81'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 84%, draw 10%, Burnley win 6%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Burnley
Man CityBurnley
1.71.1
2Goals2
1.81.0