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Manchester United v Manchester City, Premier League 2014–15

Man UnitedManchester United

Young 14'Fellaini 27'Mata 67'Smalling 73'

Final score 4 to 2

Expected goals 1.2 to 1.1

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Agüero 8', 89'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man United win 37%, draw 24%, Man City win 39%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Man City
Man UnitedMan City
1.21.1
4Goals2
1.51.2