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Manchester United v Stoke City, Premier League 2014–15

Man UnitedManchester United

Fellaini 21'Mata 59'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.4 to 0.9

Full time

StokeStoke City

N'Zonzi 39'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 58%, draw 22%, Stoke win 20%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Stoke
Man UnitedStoke
1.40.9
2Goals1
1.71.0