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Stoke City v Arsenal, Premier League 2014–15

StokeStoke City

Crouch 1'Krkic 35'Walters 45'

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 1.9 to 2.6

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Cazorla 68' penaltyRamsey 70'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Stoke win 28%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 47%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Arsenal
StokeArsenal
1.92.6
3Goals2
1.01.8