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Sunderland v Burnley, Premier League 2014–15

SunderlandSunderland

Wickham 20'Defoe 34'

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.3

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 46%, draw 27%, Burnley win 27%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Burnley
SunderlandBurnley
0.91.3
2Goals0
1.11.6