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Sunderland v Manchester City, Premier League 2014–15

SunderlandSunderland

Wickham 19'

Final score 1 to 4

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.4

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Agüero 21', 71'Jovetic 39'Zabaleta 55'

Win chances: Man City favored. Sunderland win 18%, draw 19%, Man City win 63%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Man City
SunderlandMan City
0.61.4
1Goals4
0.72.0