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Swansea City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2014–15

SwanseaSwansea City

Sigurdsson 13'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 0.4 to 1.5

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Win chances: Swansea favored. Swansea win 58%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 19%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Swansea and Aston Villa
SwanseaAston Villa
0.41.5
1Goals0
0.62.2