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Swansea City v Everton, Premier League 2014–15

SwanseaSwansea City

Shelvey 69' penalty

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.3 to 0.7

Full time

EvertonEverton

Lennon 41'

Win chances: Swansea favored. Swansea win 38%, draw 26%, Everton win 36%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Swansea and Everton
SwanseaEverton
1.30.7
1Goals1
1.80.9