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Swansea City v Liverpool, Premier League 2014–15

SwanseaSwansea City

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.9

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Henderson 68'

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Swansea win 28%, draw 23%, Liverpool win 49%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Swansea and Liverpool
SwanseaLiverpool
0.51.9
0Goals1
0.52.3