Aston Villa v Everton, Premier League 2015–16
Aston VillaAston Villa
Gestede 79'
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 1.0 to 1.7
EvertonEverton
Funes Mori 5'Lennon 30'Lukaku 60'
- Date Tuesday, March 1, 2016
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Everton favored. Aston Villa win 22%, draw 27%, Everton win 51%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Everton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||