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Newcastle United v Sunderland, Premier League 2015–16

NewcastleNewcastle United

Mitrovic 83'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.0

Full time

SunderlandSunderland

Defoe 44'

Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 42%, draw 26%, Sunderland win 32%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Sunderland
NewcastleSunderland
1.61.0
1Goals1
1.80.9