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Swansea City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16

SwanseaSwansea City

Fernández 53'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.0

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Win chances: Swansea favored. Swansea win 53%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 20%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Swansea and Aston Villa
SwanseaAston Villa
0.91.0
1Goals0
1.31.4