Arsenal v Burnley, Premier League 2016–17
ArsenalArsenal
Mustafi 59'Sánchez 90+8' penalty
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.8 to 1.8
BurnleyBurnley
Gray 90+3' penalty
- Date Sunday, January 22, 2017
- Premier League 2016–17
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 73%, draw 18%, Burnley win 9%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||