Arsenal v Everton, Premier League 2016–17
ArsenalArsenal
Bellerín 8'Sánchez 27'Ramsey 90+1'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.0 to 2.5
EvertonEverton
Lukaku 58' penalty
- Date Sunday, May 21, 2017
- Premier League 2016–17
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 55%, draw 24%, Everton win 21%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Everton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||