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Arsenal v Watford, Premier League 2016–17

ArsenalArsenal

Iwobi 58'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.6 to 0.6

Full time

WatfordWatford

Kaboul 10'Deeney 13'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 72%, draw 18%, Watford win 10%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Watford
ArsenalWatford
1.60.6
1Goals2
2.10.6