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AFC Bournemouth v Chelsea, Premier League 2016–17

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

King 42'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.6

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Smith 17' (OG)Hazard 20'Alonso 68'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Bournemouth win 22%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 52%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Bournemouth and Chelsea
BournemouthChelsea
0.61.6
1Goals3
0.72.1