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Burnley v Middlesbrough, Premier League 2016–17

BurnleyBurnley

Gray 80'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 0.6 to 0.7

Full time

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Win chances: No favorite. Burnley win 33%, draw 34%, Middlesbrough win 33%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Middlesbrough
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
0.60.7
1Goals0
1.21.4