Burnley v Sunderland, Premier League 2016–17
BurnleyBurnley
Gray 31', 51', 53'Barnes 67' penalty
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.6 to 1.0
SunderlandSunderland
Defoe 71'
- Date Saturday, December 31, 2016
- Premier League 2016–17
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 31. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Burnley favored. Burnley win 37%, draw 30%, Sunderland win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Sunderland | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||