Chelsea v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17
ChelseaChelsea
Alonso 13'Hazard 53'Fàbregas 85'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 1.0 to 0.7
ArsenalArsenal
Giroud 90+1'
- Date Saturday, February 4, 2017
- Premier League 2016–17
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 46%, draw 28%, Arsenal win 26%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||