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Chelsea v Manchester City, Premier League 2016–17

ChelseaChelsea

Hazard 10', 35'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.7 to 2.1

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Agüero 26'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 39%, draw 30%, Man City win 31%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Man City
ChelseaMan City
1.72.1
2Goals1
1.21.6